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Thread: Arena XII Tracking Thread -- Hi Everyone

  1. #1

    Default Arena XII Tracking Thread -- Hi Everyone

    Well here we go again ... try to enjoy Christmas while you're getting your shots in ;-)

    We'll do the tracking here

    Since it's Christmas, I might not be updating it all the time

    Here's the last 4 arenas if you want to see past trends:

    Arena IX Tracking: http://www.castleageforums.com/cforu...ght=Bill+Bagot
    Arena X Tracking: http://www.castleageforums.com/cforu...racking-thread
    Arena XI Tracking: http://www.castleageforums.com/cforu...d-Hi-Everyone-)
    "DeathMaster" ....: http://www.castleageforums.com/cforu...38#post3024638

    Please especially put in scores when you change from one tier to the next ... we can do a lot of calculating that way

    Also put scores at the end so we can tell where the final cutoffs were ... Thanks!"


    If Rachel does a new spreadsheet, it will be shown here. In either case, we should all be glad at the great effort she has put in to help everyone in prior arenas. You all know what I mean ;-)

    Rachel's laptop is broken and she doesn't have the funds to fix it. While she is obviously very skilled at what she does, she lives in Malaysia, and that does not afford the same living standards that many of us are lucky to have all around us.
    Last edited by Bill Bagot; 12-21-2018 at 03:09 AM.

  2. #2

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    Scores are updating every hour -- just like the last "Deathmatch"

    Actually, right now this is not true ... scores haven't updated and we have quite a few "Eternal Vanguards" running around.
    ... They could update at midnight and then go hourly, or perhaps they will fall back to the twice per day at noon and midnight
    ... We'll have to find out

    The update did happen ... so a bunch of Eternal Vanguards dropped to gladiators ... Based on the scores I believe it's hourly now, but I'll check to verify
    I was wrong ... the updates aren't hourly, so we'll be able to tell movement quite a bit more accurately if that continues

    It looks like the updates will be every 24 hours ... which is perfect for determining daily totals and moving number

    Even if updates are hourly, we can track movement rate and how much it changes coming up to the end

    Just like 6 months ago the format is:

    50 tokens max, so 1 every 5 minutes --> 250 minutes = 4 hours+ between need to battle
    Dueling only ... sorry large armies, it won't matter
    Last edited by Bill Bagot; 12-19-2018 at 01:37 AM.

  3. #3

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    Best Calculations w/ figures available: Total Arena time 260 hours (The last one was 188 hours ... so this is longer)

    Based on a longer arena, it may slow more in the middle and then pick up again ... we'll see

    The lower tiers are dropping faster than last year ... but Alpha and Eternal are higher than ever to make them

    Scores based on the nightly cut off

    Coming near the end, anything under Hero (the bottom 85%) is continuing to drop appreciably faster than the last full arena w/ 24 hr redo (Arena XI)
    Those over Hero (the top 6%) are continuing to be higher than the last one


    ........................Swordsman..........Warri or ...........Gladiator................Hero.......... ... ..... ..Legend...................Alpha.................. Et er nal
    Day 1 ...................4,950...............7,760...... .....12,155-12,160......19,815-19,830........28,140-28,200........56,160-56,265.......123,000-123,365
    Day 2 ...............5,695-5,710.... 11,895-11,985....21,150-21,155......37,060-37,130........52,810-52,830........96,420-96,510.......~227,900
    Day 3 ...................6,135.............14,945....... ........28,785...............54,200-54,260..........~76,500................~137,315... .........~335,900
    Day 4 ...............6,160-6,175.....17,540-17,545....35,625-35,630.......71,095-71,100.......99,765-99,830.........~180,210............
    Day 5 ...................6,295..............19535....... ......42,095-42,100......87,290-87,365..........~122800...........223,490-223,590
    Day 6 ...................6,475..........21,210-21,215.....48,110-48,125.....103,005-103,010....145,745-145,840....264,495-264,595
    Day 7 ...................6,475..........22,140-22,145.....53,635-53,735.....119,445-119,545....169,100-169,195....307,355-307,455
    Day 8 ...................6,455..........22,750-22,765..........57,805...........135,615-135,710....191,475-191,500........~347,000
    Day 9....................6,480...............23,510... .......62,115-62,120......151,550-151,630....214,175-214,270........~389,000
    Day 10 .................6,465...............24,010....... ...66,015-66,105.......167,350-167,355....238,635-238,720...... ~428,400
    Final...................<6,845..............>24,51 0..............>70,455............

    Best Guess of actual values

    ........................Swordsman..........Warri or ...........Gladiator................Hero.......... ... ... ..Legend..................Alpha..................E t er nal
    Day 1 ...................4,950...............7,760...... ........12,155..................19,825............ ......28,170..................56,210.............. ....123,300
    Day 2 ...................5,700..............11,950...... ........21,155..................37,100............ ......52,820..................96,470.............. ....227,900
    Day 3 ...................6,135..............14,945...... ........28,785..................54,230............ ......76,500................137,315............... ...335,900
    Day 4 ...................6,175..............17,545...... ........35,625..................71,100............ ......99,800................180,210............... ...
    Day 5 ...................6,295..............19,535...... ........42,100..................87,350............ .....122,800...............223,540
    Day 6 ...................6,475..............21,215...... ........48,120................103,010............. ....145,790................264,540
    Day 7 ...................6,475..............22,145...... ........53,685................119,495............. ....169,150................307,405
    Day 8 ...................6,455..............22,755...... ........57,805.................135,655............ ....191,490................348,200
    Day 9....................6,480..............23,510.... ..........62,115.................151,590.......... ......214,220................389,000
    Day 10 .................6,465..............24,010........ ......66,065..................167,350............. ...238,680................428,400
    Final

    Movement by Day

    ........................Swordsman..........Warri or ...........Gladiator................Hero.......... ... ... ..Legend..................Alpha..................E t er nal
    Day 1....................4,950...............7,760.... ...........12,155................19,825........... .........28,170..................56,210........... .....123,300
    Day 2.......................750...............4,190... ..............9,000................17,275......... ...........24,650..................40,260......... .......104,600
    Day 3.......................435...............2,995... ..............7,630................17,130......... ...........23,680..................40,845......... .......108,000
    Day 4.........................40...............2,600.. ...............6,840................16,870........ ............23,300..................42,895........ ........
    Day 5.......................120...............1,990... ..............6,475................16,250......... ...........23,000..................43,330
    Day 6.......................180...............1,680... ..............6,020................15,660......... ...........22,990..................41,000
    Day 7..........................0..................930. ................5,565................16,485....... .............23,360..................42,865
    Day 8 ......................-20..................610..................4,120...... .........16,160.....................22,340........ .........40,800
    Day 9........................25..................755.. ...............4,310.................15,935....... ............22,730..................40,800
    Day 10.....................-15..................500..................3,950...... ..........15,760.....................24,460....... ..........39,400
    Final
    Last edited by Bill Bagot; 12-31-2018 at 05:03 AM.

  4. #4

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    Estimated Final Scores

    Swordsman..........Warrior ...........Gladiator...............Hero........... ... ..Legend..................Alpha.................Et ernal
    ...6,460...............24,400...............69,500 ..............182,000..............259,500........ ........473,000............1,240,000


    Safe Scores

    Swordsman..........Warrior ...........Gladiator.............Hero............. ... ..Legend..................Alpha.................Et ernal
    ...6,600................25,000..............71,000 ...............184,000.............267,250........ ........488,000.................???
    Last edited by Bill Bagot; 12-28-2018 at 01:45 AM.

  5. #5

    Default

    Filler (probably won't be needed)

  6. #6
    Join Date
    Dec 2009
    Location
    Auroville, India.
    Posts
    1,673

    Default

    Thanks BB, you are the best.
    All is not Law and Process, there is also Being and Consciousness. ...............
    Red Reign https://apps.facebook.com/castle_age...786_1339201174

  7. Default

    27.500 Eternal Van

  8. Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Britzoman View Post
    27.500 Eternal Van
    Eternal Vanguard
    14,045

    I stopped after 2 hits into EV.

    This is heady heights. Never ever breached Vanguard for many arenas, let alone EV. Not sure what to make of it. Breached Hero but didn't finish up on it.

    I fear the future. No sleep. hahahahahaa
    Last edited by ॐ <Jigz of the Endless> ॐ; 12-17-2018 at 11:29 PM.

  9. Default

    As I recall from previous arenas EV ended around 1,5 million so - yes, be prepared for some long nights and short sleeps...

  10. #10
    Join Date
    Jan 2010
    Location
    phil
    Posts
    3,484

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by ॐ <Jigz of the Endless> ॐ View Post
    Eternal Vanguard
    14,045

    I stopped after 2 hits into EV.

    This is heady heights. Never ever breached Vanguard for many arenas, let alone EV. Not sure what to make of it. Breached Hero but didn't finish up on it.

    I fear the future. No sleep. hahahahahaa
    well, once cut off time comes, we all know what our "true" rank will be.


    for now, i had been hitting a lot (and i mean a lot) esp now that i have better and bigger pool of EV ranks available in the arena lists. but on the coming days, i most likely going to be contend with hitting heroes/legends...

    though i highly doubt of getting to EV till the end game, i would like to stock up if ever i'll be afk come holidays.


    btw, thanks Bill and Rachel
    for the meantime add me 5E51FD and this
    Pls do not hurt me... coz i know someone who knows someone that knows someone who can hurt you.

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